Monday, August 12, 2019

Aquino, Bass, and Demeritte, no not a law firm





Aristides Aquino

If I'd have written this column a week ago as intended, Aquino's name wouldn't have been on it. The 25-year-old was called up in the wake of the deadline to ostensibly take the place of the departed Yasiel Puig, but few expected that he'd make most of Cincinnati forget Puig's name in a week's time. Aquino has set the world on fire since his promotion, batting an absurd .464/.500/1.250 with seven homers in his first nine games in the majors. That included a three-homer game on Saturday, making him the first player in MLB history to have a three-homer game within the first 10 games of his major league career. The game also marked the fourth straight in which he's homered, another impressive feat. Aquino was a non-prospect entering the year -- to the extent that he was actually removed from the team's 40-man roster last November and was re-signed as a minor league free agent the next day -- but he made a big change to his stance, going from a closed to an extremely open one, so these gains are granted some legitimacy. He's struck out in 30 percent of his plate appearances thus far and was striking out more than one-fourth of the time in the minors against lesser competition, so there are holes to be exploited. The regression will come and he isn't a great bet to hit for even a usable average, but the power seems to be real. If nothing else, he's a wave to be ridden while he's going like this.

Tony Bass

Anthony Bass

When the Mariners traded both Hunter Strickland and Roenis Elias in the same deal with the Nationals, it signaled a change -- mostly because both of the guys most likely to get saves were now gone in one fell swoop. Enter Bass, who has gone from unwanted around baseball to the guy likely to close games for the M's for the next two months. Bass had to settle for a minor league contract this winter and toiled at the Reds' Triple-A affiliate for nearly two months before the Mariners expressed interest in late May. Through 18 appearances he held a 4.43 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, but since then he's posted a 2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 10/3 K/BB ratio over nine appearances. His only blemish was his last time out, a Friday appearance in which he walked three and clearly didn't have it. By Statcast metrics, the 31-year-old has been one of the biggest risers in that span, too, seeing his xwOBA drop more than 200 points in his last 50 plate appearances, from .437 to .234. His success seems to be the result of throwing his hard sinker more frequently, as the rate has risen to a career-high 44.1 percent this year. Sinkers don't correlate positively with strikeouts, and the right-hander is accordingly fanning only 19.8 percent of batters faced, but he walks virtually no one and when the bowling ball is rolling he's hard to hit. It's not a sexy option, but it could be an effective one to amass saves down the stretch.

Trent Grisham

The trade of Jesus Aguilar opened up a spot for Grisham in a roundabout way, sliding Eric Thames to first base in a more long-term role and allowing the Brewers to promote the 2015 first-round pick. Grisham was hitting .300/.407/.603 with 26 homers and 12 steals between Double-A and Triple-A before the call-up, and the big story has been the power outburst. The 22-year-old hit 19 homers through parts of his first four seasons in the minors before jumping up to bash 26 in 97 games this season. He's carried over the strong production since he was promoted, batting .333/.355/.519 with a pair of three-hit games and one homer in eight contests. He's played in all three outfield spots with the Brewers, appearing primarily in left field to both spell Ryan Braun and allow Braun to slide to right field with the ailing Christian Yelich sidelined. What's more notable is that manager Craig Counsell has not hesitated to put the rookie atop the stacked lineup when a right-hander is on the mound, batting leadoff in every game when a righty has been on the bump since he debuted in the nine spot on August 1. On-base skills and a propensity to crush righties are good qualities at the top of a lineup as stout as the Brewers', even sans Yelich for the time being, and as long as Grisham is doing his job it seems to be his role to lose. When Yelich does return there could be a bit of a numbers crunch in the outfield with Braun and Lorenzo Cain also in tow, but the trio of veterans should get enough days off down the stretch to make Grisham a very strong play in daily moves leagues and even in weekly leagues when the schedule is favorable.



Travis traded to the Tigers

Travis Demeritte

This is cheating, since Demeritte was actually traded on deadline day in the deal that sent Shane Greene to the Braves. But since he wasn't traded for the guy who he's replacing in the lineup -- the trade of Nicholas Castellanos to the Cubs opened the door for Demeritte's promotion -- I'll allow it. The former first-round pick of the Rangers in 2013 has had a long, winding road to the majors, complete with another prior trade that sent him to the Braves in 2016 and then a few lean years in the Braves system that dropped him off the prospect radar. The 24-year-old re-established himself this season, though, batting .286/.387/.558 with 20 homers and four steals at Triple-A Gwinnett. He's had a relatively unassuming start to his major league career, batting .235/.357/.471 in 10 games, but he's got a homer and two steals in those 10 games. His sprint speed, per Statcast, ranks in the 80th percentile among major leaguers, and so it's not implausible he continues to run and steal bases at a decent clip -- especially considering the Tigers have no incentives to hold him back -- even though he was never a prolific base-stealer in the minors. It's his pop that will carry him, though, and he's also shown the willingness to take a walk when it's offered. His ceiling is limited, but with a long leash and power that plays at the highest level Demeritte is at least worth a look in AL-only leagues.

Aaron Civale

The Indians likely felt comfortable trading Trevor Bauer because they knew they had Civale and Danny Salazar waiting in the wings, and Corey Kluber on the comeback trail. Well, Kluber is still working his way back and Salazar is back on the injured list after one outing with a right groin strain, leaving Civale as the de facto winner of the Bauer deal. He's certainly earned it after going 7-1 with a 2.35 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 70/15 K/BB ratio across 72 2/3 innings between Double-A and Triple-A. The 24-year-old has been even better in a pair of major league starts, allowing a lone run with 13 strikeouts over 12 innings, first against the Tigers in June and more recently against the Rangers this week. His best pitch is a cutter that he can run in on lefties and cut away from righties, and he also utilizes a sinker and a changeup. His calling card is command, though, and his ability to spot pitches will likely ultimately decide his fate in the majors. All his starts won't come against favorable competition -- a Sunday start against the Twins will offer a tougher challenge -- but with a strong offense at his back and a stout bullpen to provide relief, Civale could be a six-inning, three-run quality start-type pitcher as the Indians vie for a spot in October.

Jays caught their Big Fish

 

 

 

 

 

 

Derek Fisher

Like Demeritte, this one is also a bit of a cheat, and for more reasons than one. First, Fisher was also traded on deadline day. Second, the Jays didn't really make a corresponding trade that paved the way for Fisher's promotion. Third, he was actually mentioned in passing in my column last week when talking about Aaron Sanchez. Fisher was the Jays' return for Sanchez, and there was a time, like in 2015 when he hit 22 homers and stole 31 bases, that the return would have been an exciting one for the Jays and their fans. In 2019 the return is less exciting -- he's really struggled in a few major league cameos, and has also had issues staying healthy in recent years -- but still one that has a very high ceiling if he can stay on the field and tap into some of the sky-high potential he's always had. In 60 games at Triple-A before the trade Fisher was hitting .286/.401/.522 with 14 homers and eight steals, and he's hit a pair of homers in nine games since the trade and promotion. The 25-year-old has long been viewed as a toolbox and should be given every opportunity to unlock all those tools with the rebuilding Jays. A lineup so young but so full of promise -- playing everyday alongside Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio and the rest -- could be a good thing for all parties involved, including Fisher. If he's able to gain some traction in his latest stint in the majors and can put to use both his pop and speed, he's a guy who could find his way to double-digit homers and steals over the season's final two months alone. That's a big "if," but if we're throwing darts here, Fisher is as good a target as any.

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